Month: January 2025

Watch the 10-Year Treasury

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One issue I’ve spent a lot of time discussing with people over the past few months is the recent increase in bond yields. In mid-September, the 10-year Treasury was yielding 3.61%. Despite (or because of) 100bp of Fed rate cuts, the yield on that same security is now up to 4.67%. Some market observers are … Read more

Weekly Points – January 3rd, 2024 – 5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The We Tempt Fate (Again) by Disagreeing with Nassim Taleb on Bitcoin Issue

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Happy New Year to everyone. We’re going to kick off 2025 by re-releasing an expanded and improved version of our 2021 white paper where we challenged Nassim Taleb’s assertion that Bitcoin was worth zero. The official release will be on Twitter/X in the middle of the week. We’re asking everyone to like and repost so … Read more

Portfolio Management and Risk Control

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I’m writing this from Bangkok, Thailand where for the first time in all my travels, I’ve gotten sick. Other than the occasional case of travelers’ diarrhea, my friends have laughed and marveled at the fact that I would be out in crowds, on packed subway trains, in sold-out soccer stadiums, and Peruvian salsa clubs and … Read more

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