The US and Israel are knocking out Ayatollahs as fast as Iran can appoint them. Did they kill the entire 88-member council that appoints the next one? We don’t know which explains why DKI didn’t make changes to the portfolio this week despite high market volatility. Our long-term thesis explaining why we own Bitcoin, gold, … Read more
It’s been a volatile few days. Let’s recap: The Federal Reserve: I continue to believe the market is overestimating the impact Fed Chair nominee, Warsh, could have on the economy and the markets. Last week, there was reasonable fear that Warsh would be hawkish (favoring higher interest rates). I’m skeptical of that take, despite … Read more
The Fed cuts by 25bp as expected with more Fed Governors dissenting. At this point, nothing the Fed is going to do actually affects the rate at which businesses and homebuyers borrow. However, a restart of QE (however you want to define the term) means they’re committed to more inflation. The DKI portfolio is prepared … Read more
Last year, there was a lot of reasonable speculation that Cisco $CSCO from a quarter-century ago was analogous to Nvidia $NVDA now. The thinking was that Cisco was selling the hardware that new internet companies needed. (That was analogous to selling the picks and shovels to gold miners more than 100 years earlier.) When the … Read more
The big news of the week was the Fed doing exactly what we all expected they’d do; cut the fed funds rate into inflation 50% above the made-up 2% target. Did anyone else catch Chairman Powell accidentally agreeing with President Trump? Gemni has its IPO and the Nasdaq invests. Did anyone expect the crypto markets … Read more
We have an extra-long version of the 5 Things this news-heavy week. The CPI rose and was above expectations. The Fed is still going to cut. There’s still no evidence of massive tariff-based inflation yet. The BLS crushes its former record for downward job revisions. They need new methodology and President Trump was right to … Read more
The theme in the markets this week was all about increasing government control of the economy and the money supply. The Chinese government poured liquidity into their banking and housing sectors causing equity markets all over the world to rise. There’s new evidence that the government intentionally and unnecessarily killed Silvergate bank. We explain why … Read more
