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Notes on Today’s Trading

This post originally appeared on April 3, 2023 Market Giving Up Friday’s Gains: Yesterday, we published a piece concluding that the market may have misinterpreted Friday’s PCE report. The NASDAQ, which is more sensitive to interest rate changes than other major indexes, has given up half of Friday’s gains as of the time of this … Read more

This Was Easy to Predict – Saudis and China

Most of the analysis we do at Deep Knowledge Investing is detailed and complicated.  People often ask me how long it takes to write a post.  The answer is it typically takes 1-3 hours to write something and days/weeks/months of research to know enough to have confidence in my conclusions. Sometimes, things just seem obvious…In … Read more

Do You Adapt to Changing Market Conditions?

I’ve worked for and run a variety of different hedge funds with multiple strategies: concentrated long-only, long-short equity, long-term value, special situations, growth investing, options-based hedging, and even risk arbitrage (betting on the results of an announced but not completed merger or acquisition).  The best investors have a clear understanding of what makes a good investment … Read more

Another Big Fed Rate Hike

As “expected” the Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate by another 75 basis points (.75%) today.  We put “expected” in quotation marks because when we started writing about inflation ten months ago, the big Wall Street firms thought we’d get a total of 75 basis points of rate hikes for all of 2022.  We … Read more

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