The Higher for Longer and Jerome’s not Kidding Issue Jerome Powell tells the “pivot people” higher for longer. We’ve been seeing inconsistent economic data turning more negative. DKI Board Member Mish Shedlock illustrates this point and Michael Gayed warns about the possibility of another round of stagflation. DKI agrees with both of them. Charlie Biello … Read more
The “Pause” Issue New CPI is lower, unless you count Core CPI which is sticky. Fed “pauses”, but raises rate target for the year and pours cold water on the “pivot” soon crowd. The $ATVI / $MSFT deal faces further hurdles. And the yield curve continues to indicate a coming recession. We also congratulate DKI … Read more
The Real Estate Issue Commercial real estate is collapsing while home prices have remained relatively stable. Want to know how and why? We have you covered. Plus, there’s more Chinese data threatening a global slowdown and US consumers continue to spend even though it means running up more credit card debt. What do higher credit … Read more
The Inconsistent Data Issue DKI has been writing about inconsistent economic data since last November. We’re now seeing the ISM, PMI, goods and discretionary purchases all showing weakness. Lumber is down but housing prices haven’t crashed yet despite higher financing costs. Services and employment data all showing strength. Don’t know what all of those things … Read more
Hi All, In late March, I let subscribers know I was buying $ENVA $40 strike calls for June 16 expiration. Full details and explanation of my thinking here: https://deepknowledgeinvesting.com/new-portfolio-position/. Enova stock rose as expected, and the value of the options rose as well. With just over two weeks to go to expiration, I sold the … Read more
The Crisis Issue In this week’s 5 Things we examine a possible government debt default, a possible coming recession, the Federal Reserve’s continuing insistence that we’re not getting a pivot, and the possibility that AI destroys humanity (or at least the stock market). Let’s dive in… 1) Nvidia Earnings Good – Guidance Great ($NVDA) Graphics … Read more
Newsday is reporting that Nassau County has approved using the site of the Nassau Colosseum for a Las Vegas Sands ($LVS) multi-billion dollar hotel and casino. Sands has been talking about expanding into a new market for years. For a while it looked like Spain was the best option, and then, the company was almost … Read more
The Corporate Earnings Issue Company earnings this week tell us a lot more about the economy and the health of the consumer. The housing market remains largely locked-up with falling transaction volume. Fed Governors now agreeing with DKI. (I know – I didn’t expect to write that either.) Plus, there’s a new stock writeup on … Read more
