The new CPI was a win for the disinflation crowd as the all-items inflation metric falls to 2.3%. On the other hand, we’ve been above the 2% target for 50 straight months, and I think the target is 2% too high. The market celebrated a temporary tariff truce with China as both sides agree to … Read more
This week, there was a lot of focus on potential financial stress. We’re seeing higher credit card delinquencies, higher commercial real estate delinquencies, and an increasing reticence of foreign central banks to hold more dollars. Despite Fed rate cuts, both housing prices and mortgage rates have continued to rise making homes even more unaffordable. Estimates … Read more
We’ve now entered earnings season. Las Vegas Sands $LVS misses the headline numbers, but looking a bit deeper, it was a great quarter. Starbucks $SBUX misses badly. DKI thinks they’re focused on too many things that don’t affect the customer experience. Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller are avoiding owning bonds joining DKI in our … Read more
