Market Commentary
The Federal Reserve is Irrelevant
I’ll be speaking to the Manhattan Alternative Investment Network on Tuesday at noon NY time. We’ll be covering the inability of the Federal Reserve to influence crucial fiscal issues. We’ll also be covering the recent volatility in gold, silver, and Bitcoin along with some commentary on energy (uranium in particular). If you’d like to join, … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Volatility Issue
Quick announcement: I’ll be in Bangkok for the next few weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. We had most of this … Read more
Thursday and Friday Volatility
Hi All, Thursday and Friday were incredibly volatile for gold and silver. Despite the immense drawdowns, both precious metals were higher for the month. For an explanation of what happened, please see this post: Here’s What Just Happened in Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin. This week’s Five Things will be available to DKI Premium subscribers early … Read more
Here’s What Just Happened in Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin
We got some weird price action yesterday (Thursday). Gold gyrated wildly, at one point swinging 10% in just a couple of hours. It has retreated from the $5,500 level back to $5,200 as of this writing. Silver took a break from its stratospheric rise and fell from around $120 to $111. Bitcoin plummeted to $81k … Read more
The Fed Does Nothing and Can Do Nothing
The Fed concluded its January meeting, and as expected, took no action. Most Fed Governors voted to maintain the current fed funds rate with two dissents favoring a small 25bp (.25%) cut. The market shrugged and finished flat(ish) to up small depending on your favored index. This was a reasonable reaction. Many are still … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The No One Can Do What They Say Issue
Quick announcement: I’ll be in Bangkok for the next few weeks. While I’m here, I’m open to a small number of in-person conversations. If you’re based locally, or know someone here you think it would be worthwhile for me to meet, feel free to reach out privately at IR@DeepKnowledgeInvesting.com. President Trump upsets markets and … Read more
5 Things to Know in Investing This Week – The Federal Reserve Enables Theft Issue
The CPI stays locked in a tight range thanks to the BLS presenting a constantly-understated version. High inflation continues regardless of the official statistics or the actions of the Fed. Chairman Powell announced that he’s being investigated causing political actors to bemoan the politization of the Fed. The Fed has always been a political institution … Read more
CPI Notes
The December CPI was announced yesterday. Normally, I do an immediate detailed analysis. That made sense when wildly fluctuating inflation metrics had a real impact on what the Fed was going to do. I see the data as less valuable and timely right now. The December CPI was 2.7% with the Core CPI at 2.6%. … Read more